Rafael Nadal vs Alex De Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
R. Nadal vs A. De Minaur

Rafael Nadal

ESP

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

173

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$96.6M

Career Money

$13.3M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Alex De Minaur

AUS

4

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'1" (185 cm)

Height

6'0" (183 cm)

173

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

Ytd Titles

$96.6M

Career Money

$13.3M

Left-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-To-Head: Nadal 4 - 2 Minaur

They have played 16 sets in total, with Rafael Nadal winning 11 and Alex De Minaur winning 5. The last match between Rafael Nadal and Alex De Minaur was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 27-04-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Clay, with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 7-6(6) 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Nadal	4
Minaur	2

Last H2H Matches:

(R2) Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid(04-27-24)

Stats

Rafael Nadal

Alex De Minaur

(R2) Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona(04-17-24)

Stats

Alex De Minaur

Rafael Nadal

(Robin) United Cup - Australia(01-02-23)

Stats

Alex De Minaur

Rafael Nadal

R. Nadal vs A. D. Minaur H2H Profile

R. Nadal	Stats	A. D. Minaur
$96,585,210	Career Prize Money	$13,263,130
82.16% (1124-244)	Career Total W/L	64.40% (407-225)
1	Clay	1
1	Grass	0
2	Hard	1
94	Titles	12
4	Total H2H Matches	2
0% (0-0)	YTD Win/Loss	71.19% (42-17)
0	YTD Titles	1

R. Nadal vs A. D. Minaur Match Preview

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Rafael Nadal has won 0% of points on their second serve, while Alex De Minaur has won 46.15%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Rafael Nadal, in recent form, has won 0% of their opponent's second serve points, while Alex De Minaur has won 43.61%. The same stats for first serve returns are 0% and 24.43% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Rafael Nadal has saved 0% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Alex De Minaur has saved 50.81% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Rafael Nadal has won 0% of matches played (W/L 0/ 1), with Alex De Minaur winning 66.22% (W/L 0/ 25) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Rafael Nadal has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 511/ 59), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 68% (W/L 82/ 39). Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/ 25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/ 56).
Player level: In the last year, Rafael Nadal has played most of their matches on the Davis/Fed Cup, winning 0.00% of matches (W/L 0/ 1), where as Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 73.08% of matches (W/L 19/ 7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 6 times before with Rafael Nadal winning 4 times and Alex De Minaur being victorious 2 times. They have played 16 sets in total, with Rafael Nadal winning 11 and Alex De Minaur winning 5. The last match between Rafael Nadal and Alex De Minaur was at the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, 27-04-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Clay, with Rafael Nadal getting the victory 7-6(6) 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:12:22.
Deciding set H2H prediction: Rafael Nadal and Alex De Minaur have played a deciding set 2 times, with Rafael Nadal winning 1 times and Alex De Minaur 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Rafael Nadal has played against opponents with an average rank of 83 while Alex De Minaur has played against players with an average rank of 58.46.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Rafael Nadal has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Alex De Minaur has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Rafael Nadal has converted 0% of breakpoint opportunities, and Alex De Minaur has converted 32.82% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Rafael Nadal vs Alex De Minaur Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

R. Nadal vs A. D. Minaur H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

R. Nadal	Stats	A. D. Minaur
4	H2H Matches Won	2
11	Sets Won	5
84	Games Won	64
18	Aces (Total)	24
17	Total Double Faults	20
2:12:22	Avg. Match Time	2:12:22
68% (321/474)	1st Serve %	61% (286/467)
72% (230/321)	1st Serve Win %	65% (186/286)
48% (74/153)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (91/181)
46% (23/50)	Break Pts Won %	42% (15/36)
40% (188/467)	Return Pts Won %	35% (164/474)
50% (2/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	50% (2/4)
100% (2/2)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	0% (0/2)
50% (1/2)	Deciding Set Win %	50% (1/2)
75% (3/4)	1st Set Won → Match Won	50% (1/2)
25% (1/4)	1st Set Won → Match Lost	50% (1/2)
50% (1/2)	1st Set Lost → Match Won	25% (1/4)

Recent Performance Stats

R. Nadal Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 - 18-11-2024
Rubber 1 Botic Van De ZandschulpB. Van	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
Olympics - Paris - 29-07-2024
R2 Novak DjokovicN. Djokovic	L	6-1 6-4	Stats
R1 Marton FucsovicsM. Fucsovics	W	6-1 4-6 6-4	Stats
Nordea Open - Bastad - 15-07-2024
F Nuno BorgesN. Borges	L	6-3 6-2	Stats
SF Duje AjdukovicD. Ajdukovic	W	4-6 6-3 6-4	Stats

View All

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUS-BEL 2-3 - 08-09-2025
Rubber 4 Zizou BergsZ. Bergs	W	6-2 7-5	Stats
Rubber 1 Raphael CollignonR. Collignon	L	7-5 3-6 6-3	Stats
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
QF Felix Auger AliassimeF. Auger	L	4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(4)	Stats
R4 Leandro RiediL. Riedi	W	6-3 6-2 6-1	Stats
R3 Daniel AltmaierD. Altmaier	W	6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 2-0 ret.	Stats

View All

R. Nadal vs A. D. Minaur Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

R. Nadal	Stats	A. D. Minaur
82.16% (1124/244)	YTD Win/Loss	64.40% (407/225)
76.57% (2696/825)	Sets Win/Loss	60.80% (971/626)
59.47% (19730/13449)	Games Win/Loss	53.88% (8137/6966)
79.67% (439/112)	Hard Win/Loss	67.24% (195/95)
89.65% (511/59)	Clay Win/Loss	57.25% (75/56)
64.90% (98/53)	Indoor Hard W/L	62.88% (83/49)
79.17% (76/20)	Grass Win/Loss	68.35% (54/25)
0.24	Aces Per Game	0.29
3839	Aces Total	2178
0.12	Double Faults Per Game	0.21
2000	Total Double Faults	1586
1:7:13	Average Match Time	1:45:15
425.18	Average Opponent Rank	282.27
68% (58555/86368)	1st Serve %	58% (26469/45415)
72% (42361/58544)	1st Serve Win %	71% (18683/26486)
57% (15931/27857)	2nd Serve Win %	54% (10147/18961)
45% (4679/10428)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (1996/4640)
42% (38917/92075)	Return Points Win %	40% (18890/46879)
87.71% (314/44)	Slam W/L	64.58% (62/34)
81.98% (414/91)	Masters W/L	54.24% (64/54)
87.50% (35/5)	Cups W/L	59.46% (22/15)
80.50% (289/70)	Main Tour W/L	67.26% (152/74)
53.85% (21/18)	Tour Finals W/L	0.00% (0/3)
75.47% (40/13)	Challenger W/L	66.67% (52/26)
0% (0/0)	Futures W/L	74.32% (55/19)
80% (775/968)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	64% (330/517)
88% (338/384)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	66% (72/109)
61% (276/452)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	56% (127/228)
68% (199/291)	Deciding Set Win %	58% (106/182)
94% (1049/990)	1st Set Won, Won Match	88% (386/338)
5% (1049/57)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	12% (386/48)
41% (319/132)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	28% (246/69)